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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Asian Games Asia · Asian Games - Semi-finals
QatarHOME · -
87 : 782014.09.29 · 종료
MongoliaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME66.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY33.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM66 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 85/100
AI PICK HOME 67.6% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +66.5%
VALUE EDGE+66.5%
FAIR ODDS1.50
GRADEB
QatarAnalysis MetricsMongolia
33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
-8.33 Point MarginHigher is better +2.17
154.17 Pace ProxyComparison metric 145.83
16.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 33.3%
0.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 0.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

66/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.4 / 15
Prediction separation14.2 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.5 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
66.5%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
33.5%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Qatar
L · 65-58L · 57-65W · 68-77W · 71-72W · 79-69
Mongolia
L · 70-96L · 69-107L · 108-67L · 67-90W · 74-83

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2014.09.29Qatar87 : 78Mongolia