Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Asian Games
Asia
MongoliaHOME · -
70 : 962014.09.28 · 종료
JapanAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME21.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY78.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
89/100
AI PICK
AWAY 78.1%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+78.4%
VALUE EDGE+78.4%
FAIR ODDS1.28
GRADEA
MongoliaAnalysis MetricsJapan
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
+2.17
Point MarginHigher is better
+14.08
145.83
Pace ProxyComparison metric
165.75
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
80.0%
1.2일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
73/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.9 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Mongolia
L · 69-107L · 108-67L · 67-90W · 74-83L · 82-81
Japan
W · 79-72L · 82-59L · 71-72W · 75-89L · 79-72
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025.02.23 | Mongolia | 79 : 89 | Japan |
| 2024.11.21 | Japan | 93 : 75 | Mongolia |
| 2014.09.28 | Mongolia | 70 : 96 | Japan |