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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Asian Games Asia
PhilippinesHOME · -
67 : 652014.09.28 · 종료
KazakhstanAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME65.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY34.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100
AI PICK HOME 67.6% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +65.2%
VALUE EDGE+65.2%
FAIR ODDS1.53
GRADEA
PhilippinesAnalysis MetricsKazakhstan
41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%
-1.42 Point MarginHigher is better -6.83
161.75 Pace ProxyComparison metric 145.33
60.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 28.6%
1.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 0.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.0 / 15
Prediction separation13.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
65.2%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
34.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Philippines
L · 97-95L · 68-77L · 68-63W · 85-76W · 80-79
Kazakhstan
W · 57-65L · 60-77L · 59-76W · 68-74L · 61-80

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.09.12Kazakhstan78 : 109Philippines
2016.09.13Philippines98 : 86Kazakhstan
2014.09.28Philippines67 : 65Kazakhstan
2013.08.09Philippines88 : 58Kazakhstan