Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Asian Games
Asia

PhilippinesHOME · -
67 : 652014.09.28 · 종료
KazakhstanAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME65.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY34.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
HOME 67.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+65.2%
VALUE EDGE+65.2%
FAIR ODDS1.53
GRADEA
PhilippinesAnalysis MetricsKazakhstan
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
-1.42
Point MarginHigher is better
-6.83
161.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
145.33
60.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
28.6%
1.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
0.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.0 / 15
Prediction separation13.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Philippines
L · 97-95L · 68-77L · 68-63W · 85-76W · 80-79
Kazakhstan
W · 57-65L · 60-77L · 59-76W · 68-74L · 61-80
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.09.12 | Kazakhstan | 78 : 109 | Philippines |
| 2016.09.13 | Philippines | 98 : 86 | Kazakhstan |
| 2014.09.28 | Philippines | 67 : 65 | Kazakhstan |
| 2013.08.09 | Philippines | 88 : 58 | Kazakhstan |