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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Asian Games Asia
IranHOME · -
82 : 592014.09.26 · 종료
JapanAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME80.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY19.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 99/100
AI PICK HOME 84.2% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +80.8%
VALUE EDGE+80.8%
FAIR ODDS1.24
GRADEB
IranAnalysis MetricsJapan
66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%
-0.17 Point MarginHigher is better +14.08
139.50 Pace ProxyComparison metric 165.75
83.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 80.0%
1.2일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

68/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement4.2 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
80.8%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
19.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Iran
W · 68-63W · 41-76W · 89-79W · 55-76W · 75-60
Japan
L · 71-72W · 75-89L · 79-72W · 82-48L · 76-62

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2025.08.08Iran78 : 70Japan
2016.09.13Japan57 : 68Iran
2014.09.26Iran82 : 59Japan
2014.07.11Japan56 : 66Iran
2012.09.22Iran53 : 51Japan
2012.09.18Iran71 : 65Japan
2010.11.26Iran74 : 66Japan
2010.11.17Japan57 : 56Iran