Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Asian Games
Asia

IranHOME · -
82 : 592014.09.26 · 종료
JapanAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME80.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY19.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
99/100
AI PICK
HOME 84.2%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+80.8%
VALUE EDGE+80.8%
FAIR ODDS1.24
GRADEB
IranAnalysis MetricsJapan
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
-0.17
Point MarginHigher is better
+14.08
139.50
Pace ProxyComparison metric
165.75
83.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
80.0%
1.2일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
68/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement4.2 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Iran
W · 68-63W · 41-76W · 89-79W · 55-76W · 75-60
Japan
L · 71-72W · 75-89L · 79-72W · 82-48L · 76-62
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025.08.08 | Iran | 78 : 70 | Japan |
| 2016.09.13 | Japan | 57 : 68 | Iran |
| 2014.09.26 | Iran | 82 : 59 | Japan |
| 2014.07.11 | Japan | 56 : 66 | Iran |
| 2012.09.22 | Iran | 53 : 51 | Japan |
| 2012.09.18 | Iran | 71 : 65 | Japan |
| 2010.11.26 | Iran | 74 : 66 | Japan |
| 2010.11.17 | Japan | 57 : 56 | Iran |