Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Asian Games Asia

PhilippinesHOME · -

68 : 772014.09.26 · 종료

QatarAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME58.9%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY41.1%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK HOME 54.0% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +58.9%

VALUE EDGE+58.9%

FAIR ODDS1.70

GRADEA

PhilippinesAnalysis MetricsQatar

41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%

-1.42 Point MarginHigher is better -8.33

161.75 Pace ProxyComparison metric 154.17

60.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 50.0%

1.2일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

72/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement14.4 / 15

Prediction separation7.6 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

58.9%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

41.1%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Philippines

L · 68-63W · 85-76W · 80-79L · 55-76W · 70-66

Qatar

W · 71-72W · 79-69L · 85-96W · 67-72L · 79-52

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2014.09.26	Philippines	68 : 77	Qatar
2013.08.06	Philippines	80 : 70	Qatar
2012.09.22	Qatar	79 : 63	Philippines
2010.11.26	Philippines	71 : 81	Qatar
2010.11.17	Philippines	90 : 68	Qatar