Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Asian Games
Asia

IranHOME · -
68 : 632014.09.25 · 종료
PhilippinesAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME76.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY23.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
95/100
AI PICK
HOME 78.1%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+76.6%
VALUE EDGE+76.6%
FAIR ODDS1.30
GRADEA
IranAnalysis MetricsPhilippines
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
-0.17
Point MarginHigher is better
-1.42
139.50
Pace ProxyComparison metric
161.75
83.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
28.6%
1.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
2.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
73/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.6 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Iran
W · 41-76W · 89-79W · 55-76W · 75-60W · 62-49
Philippines
W · 85-76W · 80-79L · 55-76W · 70-66W · 70-71
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.08.30 | Philippines | 68 : 56 | Iran |
| 2014.09.25 | Iran | 68 : 63 | Philippines |
| 2014.07.18 | Philippines | 55 : 76 | Iran |
| 2013.08.11 | Philippines | 71 : 85 | Iran |
| 2012.09.21 | Iran | 77 : 60 | Philippines |
| 2010.11.16 | Iran | 65 : 48 | Philippines |