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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Asian Games Asia
IranHOME · -
68 : 632014.09.25 · 종료
PhilippinesAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME76.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY23.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100
AI PICK HOME 78.1% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +76.6%
VALUE EDGE+76.6%
FAIR ODDS1.30
GRADEA
IranAnalysis MetricsPhilippines
66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
-0.17 Point MarginHigher is better -1.42
139.50 Pace ProxyComparison metric 161.75
83.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 28.6%
1.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 2.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

73/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.6 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
76.6%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
23.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Iran
W · 41-76W · 89-79W · 55-76W · 75-60W · 62-49
Philippines
W · 85-76W · 80-79L · 55-76W · 70-66W · 70-71

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.08.30Philippines68 : 56Iran
2014.09.25Iran68 : 63Philippines
2014.07.18Philippines55 : 76Iran
2013.08.11Philippines71 : 85Iran
2012.09.21Iran77 : 60Philippines
2010.11.16Iran65 : 48Philippines