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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Asian Games Asia
JordanHOME · -
74 : 832014.09.23 · 종료
MongoliaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME61.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY38.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK HOME 57.9% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +61.8%
VALUE EDGE+61.8%
FAIR ODDS1.62
GRADEB
JordanAnalysis MetricsMongolia
41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
-6.75 Point MarginHigher is better +2.17
158.92 Pace ProxyComparison metric 145.83
50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 33.3%
14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

67/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.7 / 15
Prediction separation10.1 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
61.8%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
38.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Jordan
W · 79-72W · 65-69L · 75-60L · 70-71W · 53-70
Mongolia
L · 82-81W · 54-112W · 86-77L · 66-115L · 67-88

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2014.09.23Jordan74 : 83Mongolia
2010.11.19Jordan79 : 64Mongolia