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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Asian Games Asia
Chinese TaipeiHOME · -
68 : 742014.09.23 · 종료
KazakhstanAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME75.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY24.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK HOME 78.1% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +75.7%
VALUE EDGE+75.7%
FAIR ODDS1.32
GRADEA
Chinese TaipeiAnalysis MetricsKazakhstan
66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%
+11.58 Point MarginHigher is better -6.83
166.42 Pace ProxyComparison metric 145.33
57.1% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 28.6%
14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 0.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

73/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.6 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
75.7%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
24.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Chinese Taipei
L · 89-79W · 73-84W · 76-62W · 65-86L · 78-64
Kazakhstan
L · 61-80W · 72-50W · 59-89L · 59-88L · 67-72

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2016.09.12Kazakhstan77 : 92Chinese Taipei
2014.09.23Chinese Taipei68 : 74Kazakhstan