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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Asia Cup Women Asia
Philippines WHOME · -
75 : 622015.09.01 · 종료
Hong Kong WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME44.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY55.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 89/100
AI PICK AWAY 52.8% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +55.6%
VALUE EDGE+55.6%
FAIR ODDS1.80
GRADEA
Philippines WAnalysis MetricsHong Kong W
58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%
+6.25 Point MarginHigher is better -15.92
155.25 Pace ProxyComparison metric 130.92
75.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 25.0%
1.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement5.8 / 15
Prediction separation4.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
44.4%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
55.6%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Philippines W
W · 45-65W · 68-67L · 64-71
Hong Kong W
L · 61-78W · 72-52L · 48-99W · 20-0W · 104-28

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.09.20Hong Kong W73 : 90Philippines W
2023.09.29Hong Kong W63 : 99Philippines W
2015.09.01Philippines W75 : 62Hong Kong W