Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Asia Cup
Asia
MongoliaHOME · -
63 : 742024.02.25 · 종료
GuamAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME27.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY72.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
89/100
AI PICK
AWAY 72.7%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+72.8%
VALUE EDGE+72.8%
FAIR ODDS1.37
GRADEB
MongoliaAnalysis MetricsGuam
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
25.0%
+2.75
Point MarginHigher is better
-17.67
152.25
Pace ProxyComparison metric
156.83
60.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
20.0%
2.8일
Rest daysComparison metric
2.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
67/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement3.5 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Mongolia
L · 80-49L · 82-81W · 73-49W · 76-69L · 109-105
Guam
L · 77-56W · 82-81W · 64-75W · 69-75W · 67-64
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025.02.20 | Guam | 63 : 74 | Mongolia |
| 2024.02.25 | Mongolia | 63 : 74 | Guam |
| 2023.02.26 | Guam | 82 : 81 | Mongolia |