Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Asia Cup
Asia
JapanHOME · -
76 : 732024.02.25 · 종료
ChinaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME45.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY54.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
99/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+54.2%
VALUE EDGE+54.2%
FAIR ODDS1.85
GRADEA
JapanAnalysis MetricsChina
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
75.0%
+14.08
Point MarginHigher is better
+15.00
165.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
163.67
57.1%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
50.0%
2.8일
Rest daysComparison metric
2.7일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement9.9 / 15
Prediction separation3.6 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Japan
W · 77-56W · 58-76L · 73-78W · 47-119W · 78-72
China
W · 80-49L · 58-76W · 60-90W · 96-63W · 75-67
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.09.18 | Japan | 97 : 78 | China |
| 2025.02.20 | China | 100 : 58 | Japan |
| 2024.02.25 | Japan | 76 : 73 | China |
| 2017.06.07 | China | 58 : 76 | Japan |
| 2016.09.18 | China | 75 : 67 | Japan |
| 2014.09.27 | Japan | 79 : 72 | China |
| 2014.07.14 | Japan | 66 : 79 | China |
| 2012.09.20 | Japan | 60 : 50 | China |