Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Asia Cup
Asia
New ZealandHOME · -
88 : 492024.02.25 · 종료
Hong KongAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME78.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY21.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
HOME 77.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+78.7%
VALUE EDGE+78.7%
FAIR ODDS1.27
GRADEA
New ZealandAnalysis MetricsHong Kong
75.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
+16.42
Point MarginHigher is better
-6.00
170.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
148.83
100.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
20.0%
2.7일
Rest daysComparison metric
2.6일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
73/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.8 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
New Zealand
W · 69-89
Hong Kong
L · 64-94W · 71-66L · 101-88L · 76-69W · 74-50
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025.02.20 | Hong Kong | 51 : 92 | New Zealand |
| 2024.02.25 | New Zealand | 88 : 49 | Hong Kong |