Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Asia Cup
Asia

Hong KongHOME · -
64 : 942024.02.22 · 종료
PhilippinesAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME13.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY86.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM64 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
89/100
AI PICK
AWAY 89.9%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+86.2%
VALUE EDGE+86.2%
FAIR ODDS1.16
GRADEB
Hong KongAnalysis MetricsPhilippines
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
-6.75
Point MarginHigher is better
-1.42
147.08
Pace ProxyComparison metric
161.75
66.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
28.6%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
64/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement4.1 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Hong Kong
W · 71-66L · 101-88L · 76-69W · 74-50L · 67-64
Philippines
W · 115-81W · 97-70W · 67-136W · 110-69W · 58-110
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.11.24 | Philippines | 93 : 54 | Hong Kong |
| 2024.02.22 | Hong Kong | 64 : 94 | Philippines |
| 2013.08.07 | Hong Kong | 55 : 67 | Philippines |