Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Asia Cup
Asia
JapanHOME · -
77 : 562024.02.22 · 종료
GuamAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME36.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY64.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
89/100
AI PICK
AWAY 57.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+64.0%
VALUE EDGE+64.0%
FAIR ODDS1.56
GRADEA
JapanAnalysis MetricsGuam
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
+14.08
Point MarginHigher is better
-15.00
165.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
157.17
57.1%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
40.0%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
68/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement3.8 / 15
Prediction separation12.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Japan
W · 58-76L · 73-78W · 47-119W · 78-72L · 75-67
Guam
W · 82-81W · 64-75W · 69-75W · 67-64W · 59-82
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025.08.10 | Guam | 63 : 102 | Japan |
| 2024.11.24 | Guam | 78 : 83 | Japan |
| 2024.02.22 | Japan | 77 : 56 | Guam |