Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Asia Cup
Asia
MongoliaHOME · -
76 : 692023.02.24 · 종료
Hong KongAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME51.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY48.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
HOME 52.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+51.5%
VALUE EDGE+51.5%
FAIR ODDS1.94
GRADEA
MongoliaAnalysis MetricsHong Kong
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
+1.25
Point MarginHigher is better
-8.67
151.58
Pace ProxyComparison metric
148.17
40.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
20.0%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.1 / 15
Prediction separation1.3 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Mongolia
L · 109-105W · 88-77W · 62-91W · 94-92L · 84-68
Hong Kong
W · 74-50L · 67-64W · 81-96L · 92-57L · 60-90
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.02.24 | Mongolia | 76 : 69 | Hong Kong |
| 2014.09.20 | Mongolia | 86 : 77 | Hong Kong |