Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Asia Cup
Asia
ThailandHOME · -
109 : 1052022.11.14 · 종료
MongoliaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME78.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY21.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM64 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
HOME 78.1%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+78.7%
VALUE EDGE+78.7%
FAIR ODDS1.27
GRADEB
ThailandAnalysis MetricsMongolia
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
-4.42
Point MarginHigher is better
+2.17
161.08
Pace ProxyComparison metric
145.83
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
33.3%
2.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
64/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement5.8 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Thailand
W · 55-81W · 114-46W · 78-103L · 115-81W · 101-95
Mongolia
W · 88-77W · 62-91W · 94-92L · 84-68L · 87-78
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.08.31 | Thailand | 69 : 66 | Mongolia |
| 2022.11.14 | Thailand | 109 : 105 | Mongolia |