경기 상세 분석
종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질
Division Intermedia
Paraguay · Regular Season - 25

3 de NoviembreHOME · 2.03
1 : 12026.09.19 · 종료
Guairena FCAWAY · 3.08

HOME · 현재 순위
14위
승점 22
· 24경기
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · 현재 순위
13위
승점 24
· 24경기
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME50.6%
DRAW25.1%
AWAY24.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH86 / 100
시장 Fair 확률 · HOME44.0%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거
유사 배당 실제 홈승46.2%표본 225경기
리그 동일패턴 홈승25.0%표본 4경기
배당이동 패턴 홈승45.3%현재 이동 +2.0%
OPEN → NOW1.99 → 2.03배당 업데이트 2026-09-18 23:52:12
확률 구성
배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.
최근 경기력
현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.
3 de NoviembreW · 1-2W · 1-0L · 4-3W · 5-2W · 0-1
Guairena FCL · 0-3L · 3-1L · 2-1L · 0-1W · 3-2
배당 변화 히스토리
OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교
HOMEDRAWAWAY
HOME72 SNAPSHOTS
-8.44%ODDS SHORTENED
DRAW72 SNAPSHOTS
+16.09%ODDS DRIFTED
AWAY72 SNAPSHOTS
-0.65%ODDS SHORTENED
원본 배당 히스토리 보기
| 수집시간 | HOME | DRAW | AWAY |
|---|
| 2026-09-18 02:52:08 | 2.25 | 2.90 | 3.10 |
| 2026-09-18 02:52:09 | 2.00 | 3.14 | 3.47 |
| 2026-09-18 03:12:08 | 2.04 | 3.10 | 3.41 |
| 2026-09-18 03:32:10 | 2.04 | 3.10 | 3.41 |
| 2026-09-18 03:52:08 | 2.04 | 3.10 | 3.41 |
| 2026-09-18 04:12:07 | 2.04 | 3.10 | 3.41 |
| 2026-09-18 04:32:09 | 2.04 | 3.10 | 3.41 |
| 2026-09-18 04:52:08 | 2.04 | 3.10 | 3.41 |
| 2026-09-18 05:12:08 | 2.04 | 3.10 | 3.41 |
| 2026-09-18 05:32:09 | 2.04 | 3.10 | 3.41 |
| 2026-09-18 05:52:08 | 2.04 | 3.10 | 3.41 |
| 2026-09-18 06:12:07 | 2.04 | 3.10 | 3.41 |
| 2026-09-18 06:32:08 | 2.04 | 3.10 | 3.41 |
| 2026-09-18 06:52:08 | 2.04 | 3.10 | 3.41 |
| 2026-09-18 07:12:08 | 2.04 | 3.10 | 3.41 |
| 2026-09-18 07:32:08 | 1.89 | 3.22 | 3.79 |
| 2026-09-18 07:52:09 | 1.89 | 3.22 | 3.79 |
| 2026-09-18 08:12:07 | 1.89 | 3.22 | 3.79 |
| 2026-09-18 08:32:08 | 1.89 | 3.22 | 3.79 |
| 2026-09-18 08:52:08 | 1.89 | 3.22 | 3.79 |
| 2026-09-18 09:12:07 | 1.89 | 3.22 | 3.79 |
| 2026-09-18 09:32:09 | 1.89 | 3.22 | 3.79 |
| 2026-09-18 09:52:08 | 2.15 | 2.90 | 3.25 |
| 2026-09-18 09:52:09 | 1.84 | 3.28 | 3.90 |
| 2026-09-18 10:12:08 | 1.89 | 3.22 | 3.79 |
| 2026-09-18 10:32:09 | 1.94 | 3.20 | 3.65 |
| 2026-09-18 10:52:09 | 1.94 | 3.20 | 3.65 |
| 2026-09-18 11:12:08 | 1.94 | 3.20 | 3.65 |
| 2026-09-18 11:32:08 | 1.94 | 3.20 | 3.65 |
| 2026-09-18 11:52:08 | 1.94 | 3.20 | 3.65 |
| 2026-09-18 12:12:07 | 2.15 | 2.90 | 3.25 |
| 2026-09-18 12:12:08 | 1.90 | 3.26 | 3.73 |
| 2026-09-18 12:32:08 | 1.98 | 3.20 | 3.53 |
| 2026-09-18 12:32:09 | 1.92 | 3.20 | 3.72 |
| 2026-09-18 12:52:07 | 1.94 | 3.20 | 3.65 |
| 2026-09-18 13:12:07 | 1.94 | 3.20 | 3.65 |
| 2026-09-18 13:32:07 | 2.08 | 3.11 | 3.26 |
| 2026-09-18 13:52:07 | 2.15 | 2.90 | 3.25 |
| 2026-09-18 13:52:08 | 2.06 | 3.15 | 3.27 |
| 2026-09-18 14:12:08 | 2.08 | 3.11 | 3.26 |
| 2026-09-18 14:32:09 | 2.08 | 3.11 | 3.26 |
| 2026-09-18 14:52:09 | 2.08 | 3.11 | 3.26 |
| 2026-09-18 15:12:07 | 2.08 | 3.11 | 3.26 |
| 2026-09-18 15:32:09 | 2.08 | 3.11 | 3.26 |
| 2026-09-18 15:52:09 | 2.08 | 3.11 | 3.26 |
| 2026-09-18 16:12:07 | 2.08 | 3.11 | 3.26 |
| 2026-09-18 16:32:09 | 2.12 | 3.10 | 3.20 |
| 2026-09-18 16:32:10 | 2.07 | 3.14 | 3.29 |
| 2026-09-18 16:52:09 | 2.10 | 3.12 | 3.25 |
| 2026-09-18 17:12:08 | 2.10 | 3.12 | 3.25 |
| 2026-09-18 17:32:09 | 2.10 | 3.12 | 3.25 |
| 2026-09-18 17:52:10 | 2.10 | 3.12 | 3.25 |
| 2026-09-18 18:12:08 | 2.10 | 3.12 | 3.25 |
| 2026-09-18 18:32:10 | 2.10 | 3.12 | 3.25 |
| 2026-09-18 18:52:11 | 2.10 | 3.12 | 3.25 |
| 2026-09-18 19:12:09 | 2.10 | 3.12 | 3.25 |
| 2026-09-18 19:32:10 | 2.16 | 3.11 | 3.12 |
| 2026-09-18 19:52:11 | 2.16 | 3.11 | 3.12 |
| 2026-09-18 20:12:08 | 2.16 | 3.11 | 3.12 |
| 2026-09-18 20:32:11 | 2.16 | 3.11 | 3.12 |
| 2026-09-18 20:52:16 | 2.16 | 3.11 | 3.12 |
| 2026-09-18 21:12:08 | 2.16 | 3.11 | 3.12 |
| 2026-09-18 21:32:09 | 2.16 | 3.11 | 3.12 |
| 2026-09-18 21:52:09 | 2.16 | 3.11 | 3.12 |
| 2026-09-18 22:12:09 | 2.16 | 3.11 | 3.12 |
| 2026-09-18 22:32:37 | 2.08 | 3.40 | 3.04 |
| 2026-09-18 22:32:38 | 2.02 | 3.32 | 3.05 |
| 2026-09-18 22:52:14 | 2.04 | 3.34 | 3.05 |
| 2026-09-18 23:12:09 | 2.04 | 3.34 | 3.05 |
| 2026-09-18 23:32:12 | 2.04 | 3.34 | 3.05 |
| 2026-09-18 23:52:11 | 2.02 | 3.32 | 3.02 |
| 2026-09-18 23:52:12 | 2.06 | 3.37 | 3.08 |
상대전적 H2H
| 날짜 | 홈 | 결과 | 원정 |
|---|
| 2026.09.19 | 3 de Noviembre | 1 : 1 | Guairena FC |
| 2026.06.02 | Guairena FC | 2 : 1 | 3 de Noviembre |