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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Asia Championship U16 Women Asia
Japan U16 WHOME · -
106 : 282023.07.10 · 종료
Samoa U16 WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME88.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY12.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 78/100
AI PICK HOME 88.9% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +88.0%
VALUE EDGE+88.0%
FAIR ODDS1.14
GRADEB
Japan U16 WAnalysis MetricsSamoa U16 W
66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 55.6%
+25.58 Point MarginHigher is better -7.00
137.08 Pace ProxyComparison metric 135.44
80.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 60.0%
14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

67/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage15.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample8.8 / 10
Model agreement10.9 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.5 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
88.0%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
12.0%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Japan U16 W
L · 59-58W · 87-58W · 49-87L · 65-73W · 51-82
Samoa U16 W
W · 79-76W · 73-88W · 51-54L · 65-94W · 57-48

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.07.10Japan U16 W106 : 28Samoa U16 W