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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Asia Championship U16 Women Asia · Asia Championship U16 Women - Semi-finals
Japan U16 WHOME · -
87 : 582022.06.29 · 종료
New Zealand U16 WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME87.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY12.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100
AI PICK HOME 88.6% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +87.8%
VALUE EDGE+87.8%
FAIR ODDS1.14
GRADEA
Japan U16 WAnalysis MetricsNew Zealand U16 W
66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
+29.67 Point MarginHigher is better -6.17
136.17 Pace ProxyComparison metric 138.50
80.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 33.3%
2.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

72/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.0 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
87.8%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
12.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Japan U16 W
W · 49-87L · 65-73W · 51-82W · 128-39L · 61-60
New Zealand U16 W
W · 45-94L · 49-87L · 77-57W · 80-63L · 60-43

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.07.11New Zealand U16 W44 : 75Japan U16 W
2022.06.29Japan U16 W87 : 58New Zealand U16 W
2022.06.27New Zealand U16 W49 : 87Japan U16 W
2017.10.27New Zealand U16 W65 : 97Japan U16 W