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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Asia Championship U16 Asia · Asia Championship U16 - Quarter-finals
Japan U16HOME · -
59 : 642023.09.23 · 종료
Philippines U16AWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME79.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY20.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 89/100
AI PICK HOME 77.4% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +79.7%
VALUE EDGE+79.7%
FAIR ODDS1.25
GRADEA
Japan U16Analysis MetricsPhilippines U16
83.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%
+13.67 Point MarginHigher is better -0.33
149.17 Pace ProxyComparison metric 147.83
75.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 25.0%
3.3일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

73/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.9 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
79.7%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
20.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Japan U16
W · 43-99W · 93-68W · 62-65L · 94-63W · 79-99
Philippines U16
W · 95-71W · 52-75W · 66-42L · 67-83W · 95-87

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.09.23Japan U1659 : 64Philippines U16
2022.06.14Japan U1673 : 67Philippines U16
2018.04.06Japan U1670 : 72Philippines U16