Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Asia Championship U16
Asia · Asia Championship U16 - Quarter-finals

Japan U16HOME · -
59 : 642023.09.23 · 종료
Philippines U16AWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME79.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY20.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
89/100
AI PICK
HOME 77.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+79.7%
VALUE EDGE+79.7%
FAIR ODDS1.25
GRADEA
Japan U16Analysis MetricsPhilippines U16
83.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
+13.67
Point MarginHigher is better
-0.33
149.17
Pace ProxyComparison metric
147.83
75.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
25.0%
3.3일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
73/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.9 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Japan U16
W · 43-99W · 93-68W · 62-65L · 94-63W · 79-99
Philippines U16
W · 95-71W · 52-75W · 66-42L · 67-83W · 95-87
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.09.23 | Japan U16 | 59 : 64 | Philippines U16 |
| 2022.06.14 | Japan U16 | 73 : 67 | Philippines U16 |
| 2018.04.06 | Japan U16 | 70 : 72 | Philippines U16 |