Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Asia Championship U16
Asia
Iran U16HOME · -
83 : 532023.09.21 · 종료
Lebanon U16AWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME76.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY23.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
89/100
AI PICK
HOME 77.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+76.3%
VALUE EDGE+76.3%
FAIR ODDS1.31
GRADEA
Iran U16Analysis MetricsLebanon U16
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
+11.42
Point MarginHigher is better
-5.92
144.42
Pace ProxyComparison metric
145.58
40.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
40.0%
1.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
72/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.6 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Iran U16
W · 65-86W · 106-45L · 62-65L · 95-87L · 66-72
Lebanon U16
L · 43-111L · 76-69W · 99-45L · 62-89L · 85-51
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.09.21 | Iran U16 | 83 : 53 | Lebanon U16 |
| 2022.06.15 | Lebanon U16 | 56 : 73 | Iran U16 |
| 2018.04.08 | Lebanon U16 | 82 : 95 | Iran U16 |