경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

Major League Soccer USA · Regular Season - 22

Toronto FCHOME · 2.42

1 : 12026.08.30 · 종료

New York City FCAWAY · 2.71

HOME · 현재 순위 10위 승점 24 · 21경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 7위 승점 27 · 21경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME26.0%

DRAW21.6%

AWAY52.4%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH86 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 96/100

AI PICK AWAY 40.1% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +17.7%

VALUE EDGE+17.7%

FAIR ODDS1.91

GRADES

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION STRONG 96/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM HOME +4.3%p

HOME_AWAY HOME +2.8%p

LEAGUE_LEVEL EVEN +0.0%p

STANDING_PPG AWAY -7.5%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE AWAY -7.7%p

INJURIES EVEN +1.8%p

Toronto FC분석 지표New York City FC

33.3% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 16.7%

1.50 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.17

1.83 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.42

60.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 16.7%

7.0일 휴식일비교용 지표 6.1일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

86/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지19.2 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본10.0 / 10

모델 일치도6.7 / 15

예측 분리도11.3 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보5.0 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME38.9%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승39.7%표본 189경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승33.3%표본 6경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승47.0%현재 이동 -1.4%

OPEN → NOW2.45 → 2.42배당 업데이트 2026-08-29 23:57:04

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

26.0%

DRAW

21.6%

AWAY

52.4%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Toronto FC

W · 1-2D · 3-3W · 2-1D · 1-1L · 2-1

New York City FC

D · 1-1L · 2-1L · 2-3L · 1-2L · 2-1

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN2.40

→

CURRENT2.43

+1.23%ODDS DRIFTED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.60

→

CURRENT3.56

-1.19%ODDS SHORTENED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN2.66

→

CURRENT2.72

+2.26%ODDS DRIFTED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-08-29 20:12:06	2.40	3.60	2.66
2026-08-29 20:12:07	2.46	3.52	2.68
2026-08-29 20:17:07	2.35	3.63	2.62
2026-08-29 20:17:08	2.45	3.55	2.68
2026-08-29 20:22:09	2.40	3.57	2.66
2026-08-29 20:22:10	2.45	3.55	2.68
2026-08-29 20:27:07	2.42	3.56	2.67
2026-08-29 20:27:08	2.55	3.60	2.70
2026-08-29 20:32:07	2.40	3.57	2.66
2026-08-29 20:32:08	2.45	3.55	2.68
2026-08-29 20:37:09	2.41	3.60	2.68
2026-08-29 20:37:10	2.46	3.48	2.66
2026-08-29 20:42:08	2.40	3.57	2.66
2026-08-29 20:42:09	2.45	3.55	2.68
2026-08-29 20:47:08	2.40	3.57	2.66
2026-08-29 20:47:09	2.45	3.55	2.68
2026-08-29 20:52:07	2.40	3.60	2.66
2026-08-29 20:52:08	2.47	3.50	2.68
2026-08-29 20:57:07	2.40	3.57	2.66
2026-08-29 20:57:08	2.45	3.55	2.68
2026-08-29 21:02:07	2.41	3.60	2.68
2026-08-29 21:02:08	2.46	3.48	2.66
2026-08-29 21:07:08	2.43	3.56	2.67
2026-08-29 21:12:07	2.43	3.56	2.67
2026-08-29 21:17:07	2.41	3.60	2.68
2026-08-29 21:17:08	2.46	3.48	2.66
2026-08-29 21:22:07	2.35	3.63	2.62
2026-08-29 21:22:08	2.45	3.55	2.68
2026-08-29 21:27:06	2.35	3.63	2.62
2026-08-29 21:27:07	2.41	3.54	2.67
2026-08-29 21:27:08	2.53	3.57	2.70
2026-08-29 21:32:07	2.35	3.63	2.62
2026-08-29 21:32:08	2.45	3.55	2.68
2026-08-29 21:37:07	2.40	3.57	2.66
2026-08-29 21:37:08	2.45	3.55	2.68
2026-08-29 21:42:09	2.40	3.60	2.66
2026-08-29 21:42:10	2.46	3.52	2.68
2026-08-29 21:47:06	2.41	3.56	2.66
2026-08-29 21:47:07	2.54	3.58	2.70
2026-08-29 21:52:06	2.35	3.63	2.62
2026-08-29 21:52:07	2.45	3.55	2.68
2026-08-29 21:57:08	2.40	3.60	2.66
2026-08-29 21:57:09	2.47	3.50	2.68
2026-08-29 22:02:06	2.40	3.57	2.66
2026-08-29 22:02:07	2.45	3.55	2.68
2026-08-29 22:07:06	2.41	3.56	2.67
2026-08-29 22:07:07	2.44	3.56	2.67
2026-08-29 22:12:06	2.40	3.58	2.66
2026-08-29 22:12:07	2.44	3.55	2.67
2026-08-29 22:17:06	2.40	3.56	2.66
2026-08-29 22:17:07	2.53	3.57	2.70
2026-08-29 22:22:06	2.40	3.65	2.64
2026-08-29 22:22:07	2.41	3.55	2.67
2026-08-29 22:22:08	2.54	3.58	2.70
2026-08-29 22:27:07	2.34	3.55	2.75
2026-08-29 22:27:08	2.46	3.56	2.71
2026-08-29 22:32:07	2.38	3.58	2.70
2026-08-29 22:32:08	2.49	3.53	2.73
2026-08-29 22:37:06	2.38	3.57	2.70
2026-08-29 22:37:07	2.51	3.54	2.74
2026-08-29 22:42:07	2.37	3.54	2.71
2026-08-29 22:42:08	2.47	3.57	2.72
2026-08-29 22:47:07	2.40	3.57	2.71
2026-08-29 22:47:08	2.51	3.53	2.72
2026-08-29 22:52:07	2.37	3.54	2.71
2026-08-29 22:52:08	2.47	3.57	2.72
2026-08-29 22:57:06	2.37	3.54	2.71
2026-08-29 22:57:07	2.47	3.57	2.72
2026-08-29 23:02:06	2.35	3.54	2.74
2026-08-29 23:02:07	2.47	3.56	2.70
2026-08-29 23:07:06	2.43	3.55	2.71
2026-08-29 23:07:07	2.49	3.60	2.75
2026-08-29 23:12:07	2.38	3.58	2.70
2026-08-29 23:12:08	2.49	3.53	2.73
2026-08-29 23:32:12	2.43	3.56	2.72
2026-08-29 23:37:09	2.43	3.56	2.72
2026-08-29 23:47:05	2.43	3.56	2.72
2026-08-29 23:52:05	2.35	3.54	2.74
2026-08-29 23:52:06	2.47	3.56	2.70
2026-08-29 23:57:04	2.43	3.56	2.72

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.08.30	Toronto FC	1 : 1	New York City FC
2026.08.01	New York City FC	1 : 1	Toronto FC
2025.07.04	New York City FC	3 : 1	Toronto FC
2025.04.27	Toronto FC	0 : 1	New York City FC
2024.05.12	Toronto FC	2 : 3	New York City FC
2024.03.17	New York City FC	2 : 1	Toronto FC