경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

Major League Soccer USA · Regular Season - 22

New York Red BullsHOME · 2.95

1 : 32026.08.30 · 종료

Philadelphia UnionAWAY · 2.15

HOME · 현재 순위 8위 승점 26 · 21경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 13위 승점 21 · 21경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME36.5%

DRAW19.8%

AWAY43.7%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH88 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 96/100

AI PICK AWAY 36.8% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +4.4%

VALUE EDGE+4.4%

FAIR ODDS2.74

GRADEB

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION LEAN 65/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM HOME +11.5%p

HOME_AWAY HOME +16.7%p

LEAGUE_LEVEL EVEN +0.0%p

STANDING_PPG HOME +8.0%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE AWAY -6.4%p

INJURIES EVEN -1.8%p

New York Red Bulls분석 지표Philadelphia Union

41.7% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 66.7%

1.17 평균 득점높을수록 유리 2.58

1.25 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.25

40.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 60.0%

7.0일 휴식일비교용 지표 6.9일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

88/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지19.2 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본10.0 / 10

모델 일치도11.5 / 15

예측 분리도3.1 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보5.0 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME32.1%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승30.2%표본 199경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승50.0%표본 4경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승45.2%현재 이동 +1.4%

OPEN → NOW2.91 → 2.95배당 업데이트 2026-08-29 23:57:04

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

36.5%

DRAW

19.8%

AWAY

43.7%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

New York Red Bulls

D · 1-1L · 0-1L · 2-1W · 3-2L · 0-2

Philadelphia Union

D · 1-1D · 2-2W · 2-3L · 0-2W · 3-1

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN2.88

→

CURRENT2.94

+2.12%ODDS DRIFTED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.73

→

CURRENT3.93

+5.45%ODDS DRIFTED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN2.20

→

CURRENT2.15

-1.98%ODDS SHORTENED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-08-29 20:07:07	2.88	3.73	2.20
2026-08-29 20:12:05	2.91	3.95	2.11
2026-08-29 20:12:06	2.91	3.85	2.16
2026-08-29 20:17:06	2.91	3.95	2.11
2026-08-29 20:17:07	2.91	3.85	2.16
2026-08-29 20:22:07	2.86	3.98	2.09
2026-08-29 20:22:08	2.91	3.85	2.15
2026-08-29 20:22:09	2.95	3.88	2.23
2026-08-29 20:27:05	2.91	3.95	2.11
2026-08-29 20:27:06	2.91	3.85	2.16
2026-08-29 20:32:06	2.91	3.93	2.12
2026-08-29 20:32:07	2.91	3.82	2.18
2026-08-29 20:37:07	2.92	3.93	2.11
2026-08-29 20:37:08	2.90	3.85	2.17
2026-08-29 20:42:07	2.91	3.94	2.12
2026-08-29 20:42:08	2.91	3.79	2.19
2026-08-29 20:47:07	2.92	3.95	2.12
2026-08-29 20:47:08	2.88	3.73	2.20
2026-08-29 20:52:06	2.91	3.93	2.12
2026-08-29 20:52:07	2.91	3.82	2.18
2026-08-29 20:57:06	2.92	3.93	2.11
2026-08-29 20:57:07	2.90	3.85	2.17
2026-08-29 21:02:06	2.91	3.94	2.12
2026-08-29 21:02:07	2.91	3.79	2.19
2026-08-29 21:07:06	2.92	3.93	2.11
2026-08-29 21:07:07	2.90	3.85	2.17
2026-08-29 21:12:06	2.90	3.88	2.13
2026-08-29 21:12:07	2.95	3.88	2.23
2026-08-29 21:17:06	2.90	3.88	2.13
2026-08-29 21:17:07	2.95	3.88	2.23
2026-08-29 21:22:06	2.91	3.90	2.11
2026-08-29 21:22:07	2.90	3.86	2.17
2026-08-29 21:27:05	2.92	3.95	2.12
2026-08-29 21:27:06	2.91	3.87	2.15
2026-08-29 21:32:06	2.92	3.93	2.11
2026-08-29 21:32:07	2.90	3.85	2.17
2026-08-29 21:37:06	2.91	3.94	2.12
2026-08-29 21:37:07	2.91	3.79	2.19
2026-08-29 21:42:08	2.92	3.95	2.12
2026-08-29 21:42:09	2.88	3.73	2.20
2026-08-29 21:47:05	2.91	3.88	2.15
2026-08-29 21:52:06	2.91	3.88	2.15
2026-08-29 21:57:07	2.91	3.90	2.11
2026-08-29 21:57:08	2.90	3.86	2.17
2026-08-29 22:02:05	2.91	3.90	2.11
2026-08-29 22:02:06	2.90	3.86	2.17
2026-08-29 22:07:05	2.91	3.95	2.11
2026-08-29 22:07:06	2.91	3.85	2.16
2026-08-29 22:12:06	2.91	3.88	2.15
2026-08-29 22:17:05	2.92	3.95	2.12
2026-08-29 22:17:06	2.88	3.73	2.20
2026-08-29 22:22:05	2.91	3.95	2.11
2026-08-29 22:22:06	2.91	3.85	2.16
2026-08-29 22:27:06	2.80	4.00	2.05
2026-08-29 22:27:07	2.95	3.92	2.17
2026-08-29 22:32:06	2.92	3.95	2.10
2026-08-29 22:32:07	2.94	3.92	2.18
2026-08-29 22:37:05	2.91	3.91	2.11
2026-08-29 22:37:06	2.95	3.94	2.18
2026-08-29 22:42:06	2.91	3.95	2.12
2026-08-29 22:42:07	2.97	3.91	2.19
2026-08-29 22:47:06	2.93	3.93	2.15
2026-08-29 22:47:07	2.95	3.90	2.23
2026-08-29 22:52:06	2.90	3.96	2.12
2026-08-29 22:52:07	2.99	3.88	2.21
2026-08-29 22:57:05	2.92	3.95	2.10
2026-08-29 22:57:06	2.94	3.92	2.18
2026-08-29 23:02:05	2.91	3.91	2.11
2026-08-29 23:02:06	2.95	3.94	2.18
2026-08-29 23:07:05	2.93	3.94	2.14
2026-08-29 23:07:06	2.95	3.88	2.23
2026-08-29 23:12:07	2.94	3.93	2.15
2026-08-29 23:32:11	2.93	3.94	2.14
2026-08-29 23:32:12	2.95	3.88	2.23
2026-08-29 23:37:08	2.93	3.94	2.14
2026-08-29 23:37:09	2.95	3.88	2.23
2026-08-29 23:47:04	2.92	3.95	2.10
2026-08-29 23:47:05	2.94	3.92	2.18
2026-08-29 23:52:05	2.94	3.93	2.15
2026-08-29 23:57:04	2.94	3.93	2.15

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.08.30	New York Red Bulls	1 : 3	Philadelphia Union
2026.07.23	Philadelphia Union	3 : 1	New York Red Bulls
2025.08.17	New York Red Bulls	1 : 0	Philadelphia Union
2025.07.13	Philadelphia Union	2 : 0	New York Red Bulls
2024.09.01	New York Red Bulls	0 : 2	Philadelphia Union
2024.07.07	Philadelphia Union	0 : 0	New York Red Bulls