Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Asia Challenge
Asia · Asia Challenge - 3rd place
PhilippinesHOME · -
80 : 792014.07.19 · 종료
ChinaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME43.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY56.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
93/100
AI PICK
AWAY 54.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+56.2%
VALUE EDGE+56.2%
FAIR ODDS1.78
GRADEA
PhilippinesAnalysis MetricsChina
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
75.0%
-1.42
Point MarginHigher is better
+15.00
161.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
163.67
60.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
50.0%
1.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
0.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
74/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.2 / 15
Prediction separation5.3 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Philippines
L · 55-76W · 70-66W · 70-71W · 74-57W · 78-64
China
L · 73-84W · 84-37W · 66-79L · 58-65W · 51-64
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.09.14 | China | 105 : 61 | Philippines |
| 2016.09.12 | China | 75 : 65 | Philippines |
| 2014.09.29 | China | 78 : 71 | Philippines |
| 2014.07.19 | Philippines | 80 : 79 | China |
| 2012.09.14 | Philippines | 68 : 71 | China |