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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Asia Challenge Asia · Asia Challenge - Semi-finals
PhilippinesHOME · -
55 : 762014.07.18 · 종료
IranAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME30.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY69.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100
AI PICK AWAY 67.4% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +69.4%
VALUE EDGE+69.4%
FAIR ODDS1.44
GRADEA
PhilippinesAnalysis MetricsIran
41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%
-1.42 Point MarginHigher is better -0.17
161.75 Pace ProxyComparison metric 139.50
60.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 50.0%
1.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

72/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.9 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
30.6%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
69.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Philippines
W · 70-66W · 70-71W · 74-57W · 78-64L · 71-85
Iran
W · 75-60W · 62-49W · 47-77L · 51-64W · 56-66

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.08.30Philippines68 : 56Iran
2014.09.25Iran68 : 63Philippines
2014.07.18Philippines55 : 76Iran
2013.08.11Philippines71 : 85Iran
2012.09.21Iran77 : 60Philippines
2010.11.16Iran65 : 48Philippines