Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Asia Challenge
Asia

IranHOME · -
51 : 642014.07.12 · 종료
ChinaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME75.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY24.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
93/100
AI PICK
HOME 77.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+75.4%
VALUE EDGE+75.4%
FAIR ODDS1.33
GRADEB
IranAnalysis MetricsChina
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
75.0%
-0.17
Point MarginHigher is better
+15.00
139.50
Pace ProxyComparison metric
163.67
83.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
50.0%
1.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
67/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement5.5 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Iran
W · 56-66W · 71-85W · 79-60W · 94-50W · 85-53
China
W · 105-37W · 85-96W · 76-79L · 96-78W · 66-88
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.09.20 | China | 70 : 79 | Iran |
| 2014.09.28 | Iran | 75 : 67 | China |
| 2014.07.12 | Iran | 51 : 64 | China |
| 2013.08.03 | Iran | 70 : 51 | China |
| 2010.11.25 | Iran | 65 : 68 | China |