Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Asia Challenge
Asia

JapanHOME · -
56 : 662014.07.11 · 종료
IranAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME27.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY72.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
99/100
AI PICK
AWAY 72.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+72.3%
VALUE EDGE+72.3%
FAIR ODDS1.38
GRADEA
JapanAnalysis MetricsIran
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
+14.08
Point MarginHigher is better
-0.17
165.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
139.50
57.1%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
50.0%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement5.2 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Japan
W · 79-50W · 73-64L · 56-65L · 76-79L · 90-71
Iran
W · 71-85W · 79-60W · 94-50W · 85-53W · 56-75
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025.08.08 | Iran | 78 : 70 | Japan |
| 2016.09.13 | Japan | 57 : 68 | Iran |
| 2014.09.26 | Iran | 82 : 59 | Japan |
| 2014.07.11 | Japan | 56 : 66 | Iran |
| 2012.09.22 | Iran | 53 : 51 | Japan |
| 2012.09.18 | Iran | 71 : 65 | Japan |
| 2010.11.26 | Iran | 74 : 66 | Japan |
| 2010.11.17 | Japan | 57 : 56 | Iran |