경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

Copa Federacion Spain · Round of 16

OrihuelaHOME · 3.88

1 : 42026.09.17 · 종료

Real MurciaAWAY · 1.80

HOME · 현재 순위 -

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME32.9%

DRAW26.1%

AWAY41.0%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 68/100

AI PICK AWAY 36.7% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +9.7%

VALUE EDGE+9.7%

FAIR ODDS3.04

GRADEB

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION PASS 50/100 · MEDIUM RISK

RECENT_FORM AWAY -10.5%p

HOME_AWAY AWAY -11.1%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

REST EVEN +0.3%p

MARKET AWAY -26.8%p

SEASON_STATS HOME +7.5%p

• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• ATTACK_DEFENCE DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE

Orihuela분석 지표Real Murcia

25.0% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 58.3%

0.92 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.67

1.92 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.25

28.6% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 37.5%

3.1일 휴식일비교용 지표 3.0일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

68/100 MEDIUM

데이터 커버리지13.5 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본2.5 / 10

모델 일치도12.0 / 15

예측 분리도3.5 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보2.0 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME23.2%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승19.7%표본 66경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승0.0%표본 1경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승47.1%현재 이동 -0.6%

OPEN → NOW3.91 → 3.88배당 업데이트 2026-09-16 23:42:11

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

32.9%

DRAW

26.1%

AWAY

41.0%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Orihuela

W · 1-0W · 1-2L · 0-1L · 3-0W · 2-1

Real Murcia

L · 4-0W · 1-2W · 4-0W · 1-2D · 1-1

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME68 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.90

→

CURRENT3.90

-0.01%ODDS SHORTENED

DRAW68 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.36

→

CURRENT3.37

+0.18%ODDS DRIFTED

AWAY68 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN1.80

→

CURRENT1.80

+0.39%ODDS DRIFTED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-16 03:02:03	3.90	3.36	1.80
2026-09-16 03:22:03	3.90	3.36	1.80
2026-09-16 03:42:04	3.90	3.36	1.80
2026-09-16 04:02:04	3.90	3.36	1.80
2026-09-16 04:22:03	3.90	3.36	1.80
2026-09-16 04:42:03	3.90	3.36	1.80
2026-09-16 05:02:03	3.90	3.36	1.80
2026-09-16 05:22:05	3.90	3.36	1.80
2026-09-16 05:42:05	3.90	3.36	1.80
2026-09-16 06:02:05	3.90	3.36	1.80
2026-09-16 06:22:05	3.90	3.36	1.80
2026-09-16 06:42:04	3.90	3.36	1.80
2026-09-16 07:02:04	3.90	3.36	1.80
2026-09-16 07:22:06	3.90	3.36	1.80
2026-09-16 07:42:04	3.90	3.36	1.80
2026-09-16 08:02:05	3.90	3.36	1.80
2026-09-16 08:22:04	3.90	3.34	1.80
2026-09-16 08:42:04	3.90	3.34	1.80
2026-09-16 09:02:05	3.90	3.34	1.80
2026-09-16 09:22:04	3.90	3.34	1.80
2026-09-16 09:42:04	3.90	3.34	1.80
2026-09-16 10:02:05	3.90	3.34	1.80
2026-09-16 10:22:04	3.90	3.34	1.80
2026-09-16 10:22:06	3.90	3.34	1.80
2026-09-16 10:42:04	3.90	3.34	1.80
2026-09-16 10:42:05	3.90	3.34	1.80
2026-09-16 11:02:04	3.90	3.34	1.80
2026-09-16 11:02:05	3.90	3.34	1.80
2026-09-16 11:22:07	3.90	3.34	1.80
2026-09-16 11:42:05	3.88	3.34	1.79
2026-09-16 11:42:06	3.96	3.32	1.80
2026-09-16 12:02:06	3.90	3.34	1.80
2026-09-16 12:22:06	3.90	3.34	1.80
2026-09-16 12:42:06	3.90	3.34	1.80
2026-09-16 13:02:06	3.90	3.34	1.80
2026-09-16 13:22:07	3.90	3.34	1.80
2026-09-16 13:42:06	3.90	3.34	1.80
2026-09-16 14:02:08	3.90	3.34	1.80
2026-09-16 14:22:07	3.90	3.34	1.80
2026-09-16 14:42:07	3.90	3.34	1.80
2026-09-16 15:02:08	3.90	3.34	1.80
2026-09-16 15:22:08	3.90	3.34	1.80
2026-09-16 15:42:12	3.90	3.34	1.80
2026-09-16 16:02:07	3.90	3.34	1.80
2026-09-16 16:22:09	3.91	3.37	1.80
2026-09-16 16:42:08	3.91	3.37	1.80
2026-09-16 17:02:07	3.91	3.37	1.80
2026-09-16 17:22:07	3.91	3.37	1.80
2026-09-16 17:42:08	3.91	3.37	1.80
2026-09-16 18:02:07	3.91	3.37	1.80
2026-09-16 18:22:09	3.91	3.37	1.80
2026-09-16 18:42:08	3.91	3.37	1.80
2026-09-16 19:02:08	3.91	3.37	1.80
2026-09-16 19:22:09	3.89	3.36	1.79
2026-09-16 19:42:09	3.89	3.36	1.79
2026-09-16 20:02:08	3.89	3.36	1.79
2026-09-16 20:22:08	3.89	3.36	1.79
2026-09-16 20:42:08	3.89	3.36	1.79
2026-09-16 21:02:08	3.89	3.36	1.79
2026-09-16 21:22:09	3.89	3.36	1.79
2026-09-16 21:42:07	3.89	3.36	1.79
2026-09-16 22:02:09	3.89	3.36	1.79
2026-09-16 22:22:12	3.90	3.37	1.80
2026-09-16 22:42:12	3.90	3.37	1.80
2026-09-16 23:02:12	3.90	3.37	1.80
2026-09-16 23:22:12	3.92	3.35	1.79
2026-09-16 23:22:13	3.85	3.45	1.85
2026-09-16 23:42:11	3.90	3.37	1.80

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.17	Orihuela	1 : 4	Real Murcia