경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

Eliteserien Norway · Regular Season - 19

ValerengaHOME · 2.75

3 : 42026.08.31 · 종료

MoldeAWAY · 2.23

HOME · 현재 순위 11위 승점 21 · 17경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 4위 승점 27 · 17경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME21.6%

DRAW18.3%

AWAY60.1%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH87 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 96/100

AI PICK AWAY 46.2% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +18.2%

VALUE EDGE+18.2%

FAIR ODDS1.66

GRADES

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION STRONG 100/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM EVEN +2.2%p

HOME_AWAY HOME +8.3%p

LEAGUE_LEVEL EVEN +0.0%p

STANDING_PPG AWAY -22.0%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE AWAY -11.9%p

INJURIES HOME +3.6%p

Valerenga분석 지표Molde

33.3% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 50.0%

2.17 평균 득점높을수록 유리 2.67

2.17 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.50

33.3% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 50.0%

7.1일 휴식일비교용 지표 8.0일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

87/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지19.2 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본10.0 / 10

모델 일치도11.0 / 15

예측 분리도15.0 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보5.0 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME34.0%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승25.1%표본 207경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승0.0%표본 1경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승41.3%현재 이동 +5.0%

OPEN → NOW2.62 → 2.75배당 업데이트 2026-08-30 23:32:45

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

21.6%

DRAW

18.3%

AWAY

60.1%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Valerenga

D · 5-5L · 1-2L · 0-3W · 2-3W · 6-1

Molde

W · 3-2L · 2-1D · 3-3W · 2-4L · 1-2

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN2.61

→

CURRENT2.75

+5.49%ODDS DRIFTED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.86

→

CURRENT4.00

+3.50%ODDS DRIFTED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN2.31

→

CURRENT2.28

-1.43%ODDS SHORTENED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-08-28 06:15:07	2.61	3.86	2.31
2026-08-28 12:15:06	2.61	3.87	2.31
2026-08-28 18:15:06	2.61	3.82	2.29
2026-08-28 18:15:07	2.61	3.88	2.32
2026-08-29 00:00:16	2.61	3.87	2.31
2026-08-29 00:10:13	2.61	3.87	2.31
2026-08-29 00:20:15	2.61	3.87	2.31
2026-08-29 00:30:23	2.58	3.88	2.32
2026-08-29 00:30:24	2.62	3.86	2.31
2026-08-29 00:40:21	2.59	3.90	2.30
2026-08-29 00:40:22	2.63	3.83	2.33
2026-08-29 00:50:19	2.61	3.82	2.29
2026-08-29 00:50:20	2.61	3.88	2.32
2026-08-29 01:00:26	2.60	3.87	2.30
2026-08-29 01:00:27	2.64	3.83	2.39
2026-08-29 01:10:25	2.59	3.90	2.30
2026-08-29 01:10:26	2.63	3.83	2.33
2026-08-29 01:20:27	2.60	3.90	2.31
2026-08-29 01:20:28	2.61	3.81	2.32
2026-08-29 01:30:29	2.60	3.88	2.30
2026-08-29 01:30:30	2.65	3.82	2.37
2026-08-29 01:40:35	2.61	3.82	2.29
2026-08-29 01:40:36	2.61	3.88	2.32
2026-08-29 01:50:35	2.60	3.83	2.29
2026-08-29 01:50:36	2.61	3.87	2.32
2026-08-29 02:00:45	2.59	3.86	2.29
2026-08-29 02:00:46	2.65	3.88	2.36
2026-08-29 02:10:11	2.61	3.87	2.31
2026-08-29 02:20:11	2.60	3.83	2.29
2026-08-29 02:20:12	2.61	3.87	2.32
2026-08-29 02:30:13	2.61	3.87	2.31
2026-08-29 02:40:15	2.61	3.87	2.31
2026-08-29 02:50:18	2.61	3.87	2.31
2026-08-29 03:00:24	2.60	3.90	2.33
2026-08-29 03:00:25	2.61	3.86	2.31
2026-08-29 03:10:20	2.60	3.90	2.33
2026-08-29 03:10:21	2.61	3.86	2.31
2026-08-29 03:20:24	2.60	3.87	2.30
2026-08-29 03:20:25	2.64	3.83	2.39
2026-08-29 03:30:28	2.59	3.86	2.29
2026-08-29 03:30:29	2.65	3.88	2.36
2026-08-29 03:40:26	2.61	3.85	2.32
2026-08-29 03:40:27	2.64	3.86	2.30
2026-08-29 03:50:15	2.63	3.85	2.31
2026-08-29 03:50:16	2.70	3.90	2.35
2026-08-29 04:00:18	2.61	3.87	2.32
2026-08-29 04:00:19	2.65	3.84	2.30
2026-08-30 14:22:12	2.71	3.92	2.23
2026-08-30 14:32:12	2.71	3.92	2.23
2026-08-30 15:02:11	2.71	3.92	2.23
2026-08-30 15:32:11	2.71	3.92	2.23
2026-08-30 16:02:25	2.71	3.92	2.23
2026-08-30 16:32:58	2.70	3.93	2.22
2026-08-30 16:32:59	2.73	3.88	2.30
2026-08-30 17:02:42	2.73	3.87	2.22
2026-08-30 17:02:43	2.70	3.94	2.24
2026-08-30 17:32:45	2.70	3.96	2.23
2026-08-30 17:32:46	2.72	3.89	2.24
2026-08-30 18:02:37	2.71	3.92	2.23
2026-08-30 18:33:08	2.69	3.91	2.22
2026-08-30 18:33:09	2.76	3.94	2.26
2026-08-30 19:02:25	2.71	3.92	2.23
2026-08-30 19:32:52	2.71	3.93	2.23
2026-08-30 19:32:53	2.71	3.91	2.23
2026-08-30 20:02:34	2.72	3.94	2.24
2026-08-30 20:32:51	2.71	3.96	2.23
2026-08-30 20:32:52	2.75	3.85	2.27
2026-08-30 21:02:29	2.72	3.97	2.22
2026-08-30 21:02:30	2.71	3.89	2.26
2026-08-30 21:32:47	2.73	3.85	2.20
2026-08-30 21:32:48	2.72	3.95	2.24
2026-08-30 22:02:42	2.72	3.95	2.22
2026-08-30 22:02:43	2.73	3.88	2.30
2026-08-30 22:32:54	2.72	3.95	2.22
2026-08-30 22:32:55	2.73	3.88	2.30
2026-08-30 23:02:40	2.76	3.93	2.20
2026-08-30 23:02:41	2.71	3.93	2.25
2026-08-30 23:32:43	2.78	3.87	2.20
2026-08-30 23:32:44	2.71	3.95	2.23
2026-08-30 23:32:45	2.75	4.00	2.28

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.08.31	Valerenga	3 : 4	Molde
2026.04.26	Molde	5 : 1	Valerenga
2025.09.29	Molde	4 : 1	Valerenga
2025.06.22	Valerenga	2 : 3	Molde