경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

League Cup England · Round of 32

Manchester UnitedHOME · 1.72

2 : 32026.09.17 · 종료

BrightonAWAY · 4.28

HOME · 현재 순위 -

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME50.1%

DRAW22.7%

AWAY27.3%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH89 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 96/100

AI PICK HOME 40.3% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +4.9%

VALUE EDGE+4.9%

FAIR ODDS3.67

GRADEB

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION LEAN 76/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM HOME +14.7%p

HOME_AWAY HOME +19.4%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE HOME +6.3%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

LINEUP EVEN +0.0%p

H2H EVEN +0.0%p

• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE

Manchester United분석 지표Brighton

33.3% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 58.3%

1.92 평균 득점높을수록 유리 2.33

1.33 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.00

42.9% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 25.0%

3.1일 휴식일비교용 지표 3.3일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

89/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지19.2 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본10.0 / 10

모델 일치도12.4 / 15

예측 분리도9.8 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보3.0 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME55.6%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승51.1%표본 184경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승50.0%표본 2경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승50.1%현재 이동 -4.4%

OPEN → NOW1.80 → 1.72배당 업데이트 2026-09-16 23:52:33

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

50.1%

DRAW

22.7%

AWAY

27.3%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Manchester United

L · 0-1W · 4-0D · 2-2W · 5-2L · 2-0

Brighton

W · 0-5D · 1-1L · 4-3W · 4-0W · 4-0

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN1.86

→

CURRENT1.73

-6.98%ODDS SHORTENED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN4.15

→

CURRENT4.21

+1.37%ODDS DRIFTED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.86

→

CURRENT4.16

+7.83%ODDS DRIFTED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-16 01:02:17	1.86	4.15	3.86
2026-09-16 01:12:15	1.81	4.01	3.80
2026-09-16 01:22:16	1.81	4.01	3.80
2026-09-16 01:32:15	1.81	4.01	3.80
2026-09-16 01:42:15	1.81	4.01	3.80
2026-09-16 01:52:17	1.81	4.01	3.80
2026-09-16 02:02:16	1.81	4.01	3.80
2026-09-16 02:12:15	1.81	4.01	3.80
2026-09-16 02:22:16	1.81	4.01	3.80
2026-09-16 02:32:15	1.81	4.01	3.80
2026-09-16 02:42:17	1.81	4.01	3.80
2026-09-16 02:52:18	1.81	4.01	3.80
2026-09-16 02:52:26	1.81	4.01	3.80
2026-09-16 03:12:22	1.81	4.01	3.80
2026-09-16 03:32:23	1.81	4.01	3.80
2026-09-16 03:52:22	1.81	4.01	3.80
2026-09-16 04:12:22	1.81	4.01	3.80
2026-09-16 04:32:24	1.81	4.01	3.80
2026-09-16 04:52:23	1.81	4.01	3.80
2026-09-16 05:12:22	1.81	4.01	3.80
2026-09-16 05:32:23	1.81	4.01	3.80
2026-09-16 05:52:24	1.81	4.01	3.80
2026-09-16 06:12:24	1.81	4.01	3.80
2026-09-16 06:32:24	1.81	4.01	3.80
2026-09-16 06:52:27	1.81	4.01	3.80
2026-09-16 07:12:24	1.81	4.01	3.80
2026-09-16 07:32:26	1.81	4.01	3.80
2026-09-16 07:52:26	1.81	4.01	3.80
2026-09-16 08:12:22	1.81	4.01	3.80
2026-09-16 08:32:24	1.82	4.01	3.82
2026-09-16 08:52:26	1.82	4.01	3.82
2026-09-16 09:12:24	1.82	4.01	3.82
2026-09-16 09:32:24	1.82	4.01	3.82
2026-09-16 09:52:26	1.79	3.99	3.92
2026-09-16 09:52:27	1.85	4.04	3.70
2026-09-16 10:12:25	1.82	4.01	3.82
2026-09-16 10:32:23	1.82	4.01	3.82
2026-09-16 10:52:25	1.82	4.01	3.82
2026-09-16 11:12:24	1.82	4.01	3.82
2026-09-16 11:32:24	1.82	4.03	3.80
2026-09-16 11:52:25	1.81	3.98	3.76
2026-09-16 11:52:26	1.87	4.23	3.91
2026-09-16 12:12:25	1.82	4.03	3.80
2026-09-16 12:32:24	1.82	4.01	3.78
2026-09-16 12:32:25	1.88	4.20	3.90
2026-09-16 12:52:28	1.82	4.03	3.80
2026-09-16 13:12:26	1.82	4.03	3.80
2026-09-16 13:32:27	1.82	4.03	3.80
2026-09-16 13:52:27	1.82	4.03	3.80
2026-09-16 14:12:26	1.82	4.03	3.80
2026-09-16 14:32:28	1.82	4.04	3.82
2026-09-16 14:52:28	1.82	4.04	3.82
2026-09-16 15:12:26	1.82	4.04	3.82
2026-09-16 15:32:32	1.82	4.04	3.82
2026-09-16 15:52:27	1.82	4.04	3.82
2026-09-16 16:12:28	1.82	4.04	3.82
2026-09-16 16:32:30	1.82	4.04	3.82
2026-09-16 16:52:29	1.82	4.04	3.82
2026-09-16 17:12:28	1.81	4.02	3.81
2026-09-16 17:12:29	1.88	4.15	3.95
2026-09-16 17:32:28	1.81	4.04	3.85
2026-09-16 17:52:31	1.81	4.04	3.85
2026-09-16 18:12:27	1.81	4.04	3.85
2026-09-16 18:32:29	1.81	4.04	3.85
2026-09-16 18:52:27	1.81	4.04	3.85
2026-09-16 19:12:25	1.81	4.04	3.85
2026-09-16 19:32:27	1.81	4.04	3.85
2026-09-16 19:52:27	1.81	4.04	3.85
2026-09-16 20:12:25	1.81	4.04	3.85
2026-09-16 20:32:28	1.78	4.13	4.03
2026-09-16 20:52:27	1.78	4.13	4.03
2026-09-16 21:12:25	1.78	4.13	4.03
2026-09-16 21:32:28	1.78	4.13	4.03
2026-09-16 21:52:30	1.78	4.13	4.03
2026-09-16 22:12:41	1.78	4.13	4.03
2026-09-16 22:32:32	1.73	4.21	4.16
2026-09-16 22:52:36	1.73	4.21	4.16
2026-09-16 23:12:32	1.73	4.21	4.16
2026-09-16 23:32:33	1.73	4.21	4.16
2026-09-16 23:52:33	1.73	4.21	4.16

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.17	Manchester United	2 : 3	Brighton
2026.05.25	Brighton	0 : 3	Manchester United
2025.10.26	Manchester United	4 : 2	Brighton
2025.01.19	Manchester United	1 : 3	Brighton
2024.08.24	Brighton	2 : 1	Manchester United