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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Liga A Argentina
FerroHOME · -
80 : 812024.05.24 · 종료
San LorenzoAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME56.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY43.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100
AI PICK HOME 52.8% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +56.8%
VALUE EDGE+56.8%
FAIR ODDS1.76
GRADEA
FerroAnalysis MetricsSan Lorenzo
41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%
-4.17 Point MarginHigher is better -3.50
160.67 Pace ProxyComparison metric 156.50
100.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%
3.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

75/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.6 / 15
Prediction separation5.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
56.8%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
43.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Ferro
W · 85-74W · 91-79W · 70-86W · 97-84W · 84-79
San Lorenzo
L · 92-79L · 82-66W · 80-86L · 88-81W · 54-67

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.02.24Ferro90 : 77San Lorenzo
2026.01.16San Lorenzo96 : 69Ferro
2024.05.24Ferro80 : 81San Lorenzo
2023.11.25San Lorenzo83 : 53Ferro
2022.12.01Ferro80 : 48San Lorenzo
2021.10.17San Lorenzo72 : 71Ferro