Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Liga A
Argentina
FerroHOME · -
85 : 742024.05.21 · 종료
ZarateAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME56.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY43.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
HOME 52.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+56.9%
VALUE EDGE+56.9%
FAIR ODDS1.76
GRADEA
FerroAnalysis MetricsZarate
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
-4.17
Point MarginHigher is better
-5.00
160.67
Pace ProxyComparison metric
144.33
100.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
33.3%
5.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
4.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.2 / 15
Prediction separation5.9 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Ferro
W · 91-79W · 70-86W · 97-84W · 84-79L · 112-64
Zarate
W · 66-60W · 78-69W · 85-78L · 71-88L · 54-67
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.05.21 | Ferro | 85 : 74 | Zarate |
| 2023.10.31 | Zarate | 67 : 64 | Ferro |