Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Liga A
Argentina
PenarolHOME · -
86 : 772024.05.18 · 종료
Independiente de OlivaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME69.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY30.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
95/100
AI PICK
HOME 68.1%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+69.8%
VALUE EDGE+69.8%
FAIR ODDS1.43
GRADEA
PenarolAnalysis MetricsIndependiente de Oliva
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
+2.25
Point MarginHigher is better
-1.08
165.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
166.42
75.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
20.0%
5.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
2.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
73/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.4 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Penarol
L · 70-86W · 84-77W · 89-98L · 87-83W · 79-86
Independiente de Oliva
L · 91-79L · 81-73L · 84-87L · 94-79L · 68-63
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.03.28 | Independiente de Oliva | 102 : 107 | Penarol |
| 2025.12.22 | Penarol | 76 : 87 | Independiente de Oliva |
| 2024.05.18 | Penarol | 86 : 77 | Independiente de Oliva |
| 2023.12.02 | Independiente de Oliva | 83 : 75 | Penarol |
| 2023.03.11 | Penarol | 93 : 97 | Independiente de Oliva |
| 2022.11.02 | Independiente de Oliva | 83 : 80 | Penarol |