Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Liga A Argentina

RiachueloHOME · -

95 : 812024.05.18 · 종료

Obera TCAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME53.7%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY46.3%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK HOME 52.6% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +53.7%

VALUE EDGE+53.7%

FAIR ODDS1.86

GRADEA

RiachueloAnalysis MetricsObera TC

33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%

-4.17 Point MarginHigher is better -4.42

166.67 Pace ProxyComparison metric 159.08

42.9% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 33.3%

7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 5.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

73/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement13.8 / 15

Prediction separation3.2 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

53.7%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

46.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Riachuelo

W · 85-77L · 78-68L · 87-79L · 75-71L · 96-99

Obera TC

L · 80-86W · 80-77W · 85-74L · 72-83W · 73-78

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2024.05.18	Riachuelo	95 : 81	Obera TC
2023.12.20	Obera TC	80 : 78	Riachuelo
2023.04.17	Riachuelo	85 : 96	Obera TC
2023.01.12	Obera TC	90 : 66	Riachuelo
2021.09.24	Riachuelo	87 : 79	Obera TC