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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Liga A Argentina
ZarateHOME · -
66 : 602024.05.17 · 종료
Comunicaciones MercedesAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME62.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY37.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK HOME 57.5% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +62.4%
VALUE EDGE+62.4%
FAIR ODDS1.60
GRADEA
ZarateAnalysis MetricsComunicaciones Mercedes
33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 0.0%
-6.42 Point MarginHigher is better -14.00
147.08 Pace ProxyComparison metric 157.33
37.5% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%
6.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 2.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

72/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.7 / 15
Prediction separation10.6 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
62.4%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
37.6%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Zarate
W · 78-69W · 85-78L · 71-88L · 54-67W · 61-64
Comunicaciones Mercedes
L · 83-70L · 80-77L · 92-80L · 74-110L · 93-83

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.05.17Zarate66 : 60Comunicaciones Mercedes
2024.01.13Comunicaciones Mercedes75 : 70Zarate