Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Liga A
Argentina
FerroHOME · -
91 : 792024.05.16 · 종료
Independiente de OlivaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME56.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY43.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
97/100
AI PICK
HOME 52.9%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+56.2%
VALUE EDGE+56.2%
FAIR ODDS1.78
GRADEA
FerroAnalysis MetricsIndependiente de Oliva
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
-4.17
Point MarginHigher is better
-1.08
160.67
Pace ProxyComparison metric
166.42
100.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
20.0%
3.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
2.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
72/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.6 / 15
Prediction separation5.3 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Ferro
W · 70-86W · 97-84W · 84-79L · 112-64W · 73-86
Independiente de Oliva
L · 81-73L · 84-87L · 94-79L · 68-63L · 70-78
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.09 | Independiente de Oliva | 92 : 97 | Ferro |
| 2026.02.11 | Ferro | 88 : 82 | Independiente de Oliva |
| 2025.11.14 | Independiente de Oliva | 87 : 75 | Ferro |
| 2024.05.16 | Ferro | 91 : 79 | Independiente de Oliva |
| 2023.12.15 | Independiente de Oliva | 91 : 84 | Ferro |
| 2023.01.26 | Independiente de Oliva | 86 : 81 | Ferro |
| 2023.01.22 | Ferro | 75 : 79 | Independiente de Oliva |