Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Liga A
Argentina
PenarolHOME · -
70 : 862024.05.13 · 종료
FerroAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME72.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY28.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 72.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+72.0%
VALUE EDGE+72.0%
FAIR ODDS1.39
GRADES
PenarolAnalysis MetricsFerro
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
+2.25
Point MarginHigher is better
-4.17
165.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
160.67
75.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
22.2%
2.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.7 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Penarol
W · 84-77W · 89-98L · 87-83W · 79-86W · 80-75
Ferro
W · 97-84W · 84-79L · 112-64W · 73-86L · 80-78
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.05.03 | Penarol | 68 : 84 | Ferro |
| 2026.05.01 | Penarol | 87 : 75 | Ferro |
| 2026.04.27 | Ferro | 80 : 78 | Penarol |
| 2026.04.25 | Ferro | 97 : 91 | Penarol |
| 2026.04.20 | Penarol | 87 : 80 | Ferro |
| 2025.09.29 | Ferro | 97 : 84 | Penarol |
| 2024.05.13 | Penarol | 70 : 86 | Ferro |
| 2023.11.14 | Ferro | 80 : 73 | Penarol |
| 2023.01.20 | Ferro | 88 : 102 | Penarol |
| 2022.11.27 | Penarol | 69 : 64 | Ferro |