Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

Liga A Argentina

PenarolHOME · -

84 : 772024.05.11 · 종료

ArgentinoAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME81.4%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY18.6%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 97/100

AI PICK HOME 83.9% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +81.4%

VALUE EDGE+81.4%

FAIR ODDS1.23

GRADEA

PenarolAnalysis MetricsArgentino

50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%

+2.25 Point MarginHigher is better -2.08

165.75 Pace ProxyComparison metric 158.58

75.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 25.0%

9.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 2.1일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage19.6 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement10.8 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

81.4%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

18.6%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Penarol

W · 89-98L · 87-83W · 79-86W · 80-75W · 99-56

Argentino

L · 89-52L · 85-78W · 75-71W · 88-81L · 72-74

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.02.16	Penarol	69 : 74	Argentino
2026.01.13	Argentino	84 : 83	Penarol
2024.05.11	Penarol	84 : 77	Argentino
2023.11.12	Argentino	81 : 66	Penarol
2023.01.13	Penarol	92 : 82	Argentino
2022.12.11	Argentino	72 : 73	Penarol
2021.09.28	Argentino	70 : 90	Penarol