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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Liga A Argentina
Obera TCHOME · -
80 : 772024.05.06 · 종료
Comunicaciones MercedesAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME70.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY29.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100
AI PICK HOME 72.6% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +70.4%
VALUE EDGE+70.4%
FAIR ODDS1.42
GRADES
Obera TCAnalysis MetricsComunicaciones Mercedes
33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 0.0%
-4.42 Point MarginHigher is better -14.25
159.08 Pace ProxyComparison metric 154.75
33.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%
4.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 2.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

75/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.1 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
70.4%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
29.6%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Obera TC
W · 85-74L · 72-83W · 73-78L · 74-57W · 71-56
Comunicaciones Mercedes
L · 92-80L · 74-110L · 93-83L · 63-67L · 76-71

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.05.06Obera TC80 : 77Comunicaciones Mercedes
2023.12.12Comunicaciones Mercedes93 : 94Obera TC
2023.02.20Obera TC95 : 63Comunicaciones Mercedes
2022.11.07Comunicaciones Mercedes66 : 78Obera TC
2021.10.13Obera TC63 : 75Comunicaciones Mercedes