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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Liga A Argentina
San MartinHOME · -
68 : 632024.04.27 · 종료
Independiente de OlivaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME68.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY31.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100
AI PICK HOME 68.1% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +68.5%
VALUE EDGE+68.5%
FAIR ODDS1.46
GRADEA
San MartinAnalysis MetricsIndependiente de Oliva
16.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%
-8.58 Point MarginHigher is better -1.08
166.42 Pace ProxyComparison metric 166.42
25.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 20.0%
5.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 11.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement3.2 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
68.5%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
31.5%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
San Martin
W · 69-76L · 87-76W · 79-77W · 76-56W · 69-58
Independiente de Oliva
L · 70-78L · 87-93L · 89-79L · 82-67W · 91-84

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.02.05Independiente de Oliva90 : 80San Martin
2026.01.14San Martin67 : 68Independiente de Oliva
2024.04.27San Martin68 : 63Independiente de Oliva
2023.10.21Independiente de Oliva67 : 59San Martin
2023.04.15San Martin90 : 68Independiente de Oliva
2023.03.04Independiente de Oliva87 : 80San Martin