Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Liga A
Argentina
ZarateHOME · -
54 : 672024.04.27 · 종료
San LorenzoAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME49.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY51.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+51.0%
VALUE EDGE+51.0%
FAIR ODDS1.96
GRADEA
ZarateAnalysis MetricsSan Lorenzo
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
-4.83
Point MarginHigher is better
-3.50
147.50
Pace ProxyComparison metric
156.50
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
0.0%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
4.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.8 / 15
Prediction separation0.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Zarate
W · 61-64L · 79-77L · 69-61W · 86-77L · 68-82
San Lorenzo
L · 80-75W · 82-69W · 87-76W · 72-62W · 92-86
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.04.27 | Zarate | 54 : 67 | San Lorenzo |
| 2023.12.22 | San Lorenzo | 78 : 82 | Zarate |