Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Liga A
Argentina
PenarolHOME · -
80 : 752024.04.23 · 종료
San LorenzoAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME61.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY38.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 57.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+61.9%
VALUE EDGE+61.9%
FAIR ODDS1.62
GRADES
PenarolAnalysis MetricsSan Lorenzo
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
+2.25
Point MarginHigher is better
-3.50
165.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
156.50
75.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
0.0%
3.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
4.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
76/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.5 / 15
Prediction separation10.2 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Penarol
W · 99-56L · 69-76W · 74-57W · 75-80L · 93-78
San Lorenzo
W · 82-69W · 87-76W · 72-62W · 92-86L · 72-75
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.17 | San Lorenzo | 85 : 92 | Penarol |
| 2026.03.15 | Penarol | 71 : 79 | San Lorenzo |
| 2025.09.27 | San Lorenzo | 82 : 74 | Penarol |
| 2024.04.23 | Penarol | 80 : 75 | San Lorenzo |
| 2023.11.16 | San Lorenzo | 88 : 65 | Penarol |
| 2023.01.18 | San Lorenzo | 75 : 99 | Penarol |
| 2022.10.21 | Penarol | 79 : 70 | San Lorenzo |
| 2021.10.15 | San Lorenzo | 88 : 73 | Penarol |
| 2019.10.19 | Penarol | 89 : 90 | San Lorenzo |
| 2019.09.30 | San Lorenzo | 89 : 84 | Penarol |