Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Liga A
Argentina
QuimsaHOME · -
112 : 642024.04.21 · 종료
FerroAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME74.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY25.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
95/100
AI PICK
HOME 72.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+74.8%
VALUE EDGE+74.8%
FAIR ODDS1.34
GRADES
QuimsaAnalysis MetricsFerro
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
+5.75
Point MarginHigher is better
-4.17
152.42
Pace ProxyComparison metric
160.67
75.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
22.2%
3.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
2.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.1 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Quimsa
W · 93-83L · 75-80L · 71-56W · 86-90L · 86-84
Ferro
W · 73-86L · 80-78W · 76-71L · 69-70L · 87-83
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.03.06 | Quimsa | 115 : 73 | Ferro |
| 2025.12.17 | Ferro | 89 : 92 | Quimsa |
| 2024.04.21 | Quimsa | 112 : 64 | Ferro |
| 2023.11.09 | Ferro | 64 : 74 | Quimsa |
| 2023.04.04 | Ferro | 70 : 89 | Quimsa |
| 2022.10.11 | Quimsa | 91 : 64 | Ferro |