Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

Liga A Argentina

PenarolHOME · -

99 : 562024.04.20 · 종료

PlatenseAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME55.5%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY44.5%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 97/100

AI PICK HOME 52.9% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +55.5%

VALUE EDGE+55.5%

FAIR ODDS1.80

GRADEA

PenarolAnalysis MetricsPlatense

50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%

+2.25 Point MarginHigher is better -1.58

165.75 Pace ProxyComparison metric 165.08

75.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 33.3%

5.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 8.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage19.6 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement14.4 / 15

Prediction separation4.7 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

55.5%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

44.5%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Penarol

L · 69-76W · 74-57W · 75-80L · 93-78W · 88-76

Platense

W · 63-67L · 98-96L · 72-62L · 90-85W · 82-69

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.03.08	Penarol	79 : 72	Platense
2025.11.18	Platense	88 : 89	Penarol
2024.04.20	Penarol	99 : 56	Platense
2024.01.19	Platense	87 : 86	Penarol
2023.01.22	Platense	83 : 89	Penarol
2022.12.08	Penarol	73 : 70	Platense
2021.10.14	Penarol	70 : 75	Platense