Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Liga A
Argentina
San LorenzoHOME · -
82 : 692024.04.19 · 종료
Union De Santa FeAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME75.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY24.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM66 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
95/100
AI PICK
HOME 77.3%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+75.4%
VALUE EDGE+75.4%
FAIR ODDS1.33
GRADEB
San LorenzoAnalysis MetricsUnion De Santa Fe
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
16.7%
-3.50
Point MarginHigher is better
-2.00
156.50
Pace ProxyComparison metric
167.00
44.4%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
16.7%
6.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
2.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
66/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.3 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
San Lorenzo
W · 87-76W · 72-62W · 92-86L · 72-75W · 73-72
Union De Santa Fe
L · 97-90W · 98-96W · 81-79L · 79-75L · 86-77
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.01.20 | Union De Santa Fe | 96 : 93 | San Lorenzo |
| 2024.04.19 | San Lorenzo | 82 : 69 | Union De Santa Fe |
| 2023.12.14 | Union De Santa Fe | 73 : 77 | San Lorenzo |
| 2023.04.15 | San Lorenzo | 82 : 91 | Union De Santa Fe |
| 2023.02.04 | Union De Santa Fe | 90 : 79 | San Lorenzo |
| 2021.09.29 | Union De Santa Fe | 76 : 69 | San Lorenzo |