Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Liga A
Argentina
PenarolHOME · -
69 : 762024.04.15 · 종료
San MartinAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME55.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY44.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 52.9%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+55.4%
VALUE EDGE+55.4%
FAIR ODDS1.81
GRADEA
PenarolAnalysis MetricsSan Martin
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
16.7%
+2.25
Point MarginHigher is better
-8.58
165.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
166.42
75.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
12.5%
3.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
2.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
74/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement10.2 / 15
Prediction separation4.6 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Penarol
W · 74-57W · 75-80L · 93-78W · 88-76L · 64-78
San Martin
L · 87-76W · 79-77W · 76-56W · 69-58W · 86-84
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.28 | Penarol | 95 : 76 | San Martin |
| 2026.02.20 | San Martin | 88 : 84 | Penarol |
| 2025.11.13 | Penarol | 75 : 72 | San Martin |
| 2024.06.04 | Penarol | 70 : 56 | San Martin |
| 2024.06.02 | Penarol | 66 : 54 | San Martin |
| 2024.05.30 | San Martin | 70 : 72 | Penarol |
| 2024.05.28 | San Martin | 87 : 70 | Penarol |
| 2024.04.15 | Penarol | 69 : 76 | San Martin |
| 2024.02.03 | San Martin | 73 : 56 | Penarol |
| 2023.03.13 | Penarol | 77 : 61 | San Martin |