Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Liga A
Argentina
San LorenzoHOME · -
87 : 762024.04.13 · 종료
San MartinAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME60.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY39.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
97/100
AI PICK
HOME 57.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+60.3%
VALUE EDGE+60.3%
FAIR ODDS1.66
GRADES
San LorenzoAnalysis MetricsSan Martin
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
16.7%
-3.50
Point MarginHigher is better
-8.58
156.50
Pace ProxyComparison metric
166.42
44.4%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
12.5%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
3.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.0 / 15
Prediction separation8.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
San Lorenzo
W · 72-62W · 92-86L · 72-75W · 73-72W · 66-59
San Martin
W · 79-77W · 76-56W · 69-58W · 86-84W · 67-79
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.03.09 | San Martin | 77 : 72 | San Lorenzo |
| 2025.10.13 | San Lorenzo | 63 : 81 | San Martin |
| 2024.04.13 | San Lorenzo | 87 : 76 | San Martin |
| 2023.11.09 | San Martin | 64 : 66 | San Lorenzo |
| 2023.03.29 | San Martin | 92 : 63 | San Lorenzo |
| 2023.01.22 | San Lorenzo | 73 : 68 | San Martin |
| 2017.01.08 | San Lorenzo | 70 : 59 | San Martin |