Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Liga A Argentina

PenarolHOME · -

74 : 572024.04.12 · 종료

Obera TCAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME46.6%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY53.4%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100

AI PICK AWAY 52.6% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +53.4%

VALUE EDGE+53.4%

FAIR ODDS1.87

GRADEA

PenarolAnalysis MetricsObera TC

50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%

+2.25 Point MarginHigher is better -4.42

165.75 Pace ProxyComparison metric 159.08

75.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 33.3%

4.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.9일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage19.3 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement7.1 / 15

Prediction separation2.9 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

46.6%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

53.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Penarol

W · 75-80L · 93-78W · 88-76L · 64-78W · 79-61

Obera TC

W · 71-56L · 85-82W · 83-91W · 85-77W · 77-86

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.04.17	Obera TC	84 : 81	Penarol
2025.11.23	Penarol	71 : 87	Obera TC
2024.04.12	Penarol	74 : 57	Obera TC
2023.10.10	Obera TC	105 : 71	Penarol
2023.03.22	Obera TC	90 : 81	Penarol
2022.12.19	Penarol	68 : 71	Obera TC